@article {6294, title = {Extreme drought impacts have been underestimated in grasslands and shrublands globally}, journal = {Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences}, volume = {121}, year = {2024}, pages = {e230988112}, keywords = {LTER-KNZ}, doi = {10.1073/pnas.2309881120}, url = {https://pnas.org/doi/10.1073/pnas.2309881120}, author = {M. D. Smith and Wilkins, Kate D. and Holdrege, Martin C. and Wilfahrt, Peter and S.L Collins and Knapp, Alan K. and Sala, Osvaldo E. and Dukes, Jeffrey S. and Phillips, Richard P. and Yahdjian, Laura and Gherardi, Laureano A. and Ohlert, Timothy and Beier, Claus and Fraser, Lauchlan H. and Jentsch, Anke and Loik, Michael E. and Maestre, Fernando T. and Power, Sally A. and Yu, Qiang and Felton, Andrew J. and Munson, Seth M. and Luo, Yiqi and Abdoli, Hamed and Abedi, Mehdi and Alados, Concepci{\'o}n L. and Alberti, Juan and Alon, Moshe and An, Hui and Anacker, Brian and Anderson, Maggie and Auge, Harald and Bachle, Seton and Bahalkeh, Khadijeh and Bahn, Michael and Batbaatar, Amgaa and Bauerle, Taryn and Beard, Karen H. and Behn, Kai and Beil, Ilka and Biancari, Lucio and Blindow, Irmgard and Bondaruk, Viviana Florencia and Borer, Elizabeth T. and Bork, Edward W. and Bruschetti, Carlos Martin and Byrne, Kerry M. and Cahill Jr., James F. and Calvo, Dianela A. and Carbognani, Michele and Cardoni, Augusto and Carlyle, Cameron N. and Castillo-Garcia, Miguel and Chang, Scott X. and Chieppa, Jeff and Cianciaruso, Marcus V. and Cohen, Ofer and Cordeiro, Amanda L. and Cusack, Daniela F. and Dahlke, Sven and Daleo, Pedro and D{\textquoteright}Antonio, Carla M. and Dietterich, Lee H. and S. Doherty, Tim and Dubbert, Maren and Ebeling, Anne and Eisenhauer, Nico and Fischer, Fel{\'\i}cia M. and Forte, T{\textquoteright}ai G. W. and Gebauer, Tobias and Gozalo, Beatriz and Greenville, Aaron C. and Guidoni-Martins, Karlo G. and Hannusch, Heather J. and Vats{\o} Haugum, Siri and Hautier, Yann and Hefting, Mariet and Henry, Hugh A. L. and Hoss, Daniela and Ingrisch, Johannes and Iribarne, Oscar and Isbell, Forest and Johnson, Yari and Jordan, Samuel and Kelly, Eugene F. and Kimmel, Kaitlin and Kreyling, Juergen and Kr{\"o}el-Dulay, Gy{\"o}rgy and Kr{\"o}pfl, Alicia and K{\"u}bert, Angelika and Kulmatiski, Andrew and Lamb, Eric G. and Larsen, Klaus Steenberg and Larson, Julie and Lawson, Jason and Leder, Cintia V. and Linst{\"a}dter, Anja and Liu, Jielin and Liu, Shirong and Lodge, Alexandra G. and Longo, Grisel and Loydi, Alejandro and Luan, Junwei and Curtis Lubbe, Frederick and Macfarlane, Craig and Mackie-Haas, Kathleen and Malyshev, Andrey V. and Maturano-Ruiz, {\'a}n and Merchant, Thomas and Metcalfe, Daniel B. and Mori, Akira S. and Mudongo, Edwin and Newman, Gregory S. and Nielsen, Uffe N. and Nimmo, Dale and Niu, Yujie and Nobre, Paola and O{\textquoteright}Connor, Rory C. and Ogaya, Rom{\`a} and O{\~n}atibia, Gast{\'o}n R. and Orb{\'a}n, Ildik{\'o} and Osborne, Brooke and Otfinowski, Rafael and P{\"a}rtel, Meelis and Pe{\~n}uelas, Josep and Peri, Pablo L. and Peter, Guadalupe and Petraglia, Alessandro and Picon-Cochard, Catherine and Pillar, Val{\'e}rio D. and Pi{\~N}Eiro-Guerra, Juan Manuel and Ploughe, Laura W. and Plowes, Robert M. and Portales-Reyes, Cristy and Prober, Suzanne M. and Pueyo, Yolanda and Reed, Sasha C. and Ritchie, Euan G. and Rodr{\'\i}guez, Ayl{\'e}n and Rogers, William E. and Roscher, Christiane and S{\'a}nchez, Ana M. and Santos, Br{\'a}ulio A. and Scarf{\'o}, Mar{\'\i}a and Seabloom, Eric W. and Shi, Baoku and Souza, Lara and Stampfli, Andreas and Standish, Rachel J. and Sternberg, Marcelo and Sun, Wei and S{\"u}nnemann, Marie and Tedder, Michelle and Thorvaldsen, {\r a}l and Tian, Dashuan and Tielb{\"o}rger, Katja and Valdecantos, Alejandro and van den Brink, Liesbeth and Vandvik, Vigdis and Vankoughnett, Mathew R. and Guri Velle, Liv and Wang, Changhui and Wang, Yi and Wardle, Glenda M. and Werner, Christiane and Wei, Cunzheng and Wiehl, Georg and Williams, Jennifer L. and Wolf, Amelia A. and Zeiter, Michaela and Zhang, Fawei and Zhu, Juntao and Zong, Ning and Zuo, Xiaoan} } @article {KNZ002014, title = {Rainfall-manipulation experiments as simulated by terrestrial biosphere models: where do we stand?}, journal = {Global Change Biology}, volume = {26}, year = {2020}, pages = {3336{\textendash}3355}, abstract = {

Changes in rainfall amounts and patterns have been observed and are expected to continue in the near future with potentially significant ecological and societal consequences. Modelling vegetation responses to changes in rainfall is thus crucial to project water and carbon cycles in the future. In this study, we present the results of a new model-data intercomparison project, where we tested the ability of ten terrestrial biosphere models to reproduce observed sensitivity of ecosystem productivity to rainfall changes at ten sites across the globe, in nine of which, rainfall exclusion and/or irrigation experiments had been performed.

The key results are:
(a) Inter-model variation is generally large and model agreement varies with time scales. In severely water limited sites, models only agree on the interannual variability of evapotranspiration and to a smaller extent gross primary productivity. In more mesic sites model agreement for both water and carbon fluxes is typically higher on fine (daily-monthly) time scales and reduces on longer (seasonal-annual) scales.
(b) Models on average overestimate the relationship between ecosystem productivity and mean rainfall amounts across sites (in space) and have a low capacity in reproducing the temporal (interannual) sensitivity of vegetation productivity to annual rainfall at a given site, even though observation uncertainty is comparable to inter-model variability.
(c) Most models reproduced the sign of the observed patterns in productivity changes in rainfall manipulation experiments but had a low capacity in reproducing the observed magnitude of productivity changes. Models better reproduced the observed productivity responses due to rainfall exclusion than addition.
(d) All models attribute ecosystem productivity changes to the intensity of vegetation stress and peak leaf area, whereas the impact of the change in growing season length is negligible. The relative contribution of the peak leaf area and vegetation stress intensity was highly variable among models.

}, keywords = {LTER-KNZ}, doi = {10.1111/gcb.15024}, url = {https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/abs/10.1111/gcb.15024}, author = {Paschalis, Athanasios and Fatichi, Simone and Zscheischler, Jakob and Ciais, Philippe and Michael Bahn and Lena R. Boysen and Chang, Jinfeng and De Kauwe, Martin and Estiarte, Marc and Goll, Daniel and Hanson, Paul J. and Harper, Anna B. and Hou, Enqing and Kigel, Jaime and Alan K. Knapp and Larsen, Klaus Steenberg and Li, Wei and Lienert, Sebastian and Luo, Yiqi and Meir, Patrick and Nabel, Julia E.M.S. and Ogaya, Rom{\`a} and Parolari, Anthony J and Peng, Changhui and Pe{\~n}uelas, Josep and Pongratz, Julia and Rambal, Serge and Schmidt, Inger Kappel and Shi, Hao and Sternberg, Marcelo and Tian, Hanqin and Tschumi, Elisabeth and Ukkola, Anna and Vicca, Sara and Viovy, Nicolas and Wang, -Ping and Wang, Zhuonan and Williams, Karina and Wu, Donghai and Zhu, Qiuan} }